WEEKLY MARKET ROUND-UP – 28/12/18

by | Dec 28, 2018 | Market updates

WEEK ENDING 28 DECEMBER 2018

Property Market Review

Our monthly property market review is intended to provide background to recent developments in property markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.

We are not responsible or authorised to provide advice on investment decisions concerning property, only for the provision of mortgage advice. We hope you will find this review to be of interest.

INVESTOR DEMAND REMAINS STRONG

The latest review from property adviser, GVA, indicates that mainland European investors appear to remain risk-averse to the UK commercial property market, as a result of the continuing uncertainty surrounding the Brexit negotiations. In contrast, other global investors, particularly those from the Far East and China, remain bullish, with demand from these regions strengthening in 2018. At the same time, UK based investors appear to have returned to the market this year and now account for approximately 12% more acquisitions compared to last year.

London remains the prime location for investors from outside Europe, but the North East has seen competitive bidding for prime, well-let assets, with an apparent lack of this type of property in that region at present.

Overall, the review finds that the UK commercial property market remains attractive, with the exception of retail assets.

Editorial credit: Lukasz Pajor / Shutterstock.com

SURGE IN DEMAND FOR CENTRAL LONDON OFFICE SPACE

According to estate agents CBRE, central London saw a surge in demand in October for office space, with approximately 1.3m sq. ft of office space let, marking a 30% rise on the same month last year. This was primarily driven by the UK creative sector, who were responsible for nearly 20% of all deals contracted.

The largest deal of the month saw US advertising agency, McCann Erickson take 146,400 sq. ft at 135 Bishopsgate in the Square Mile’s eastern area.

James Nicholson, Head of City Occupier Advisory & Transaction at CBRE commented: “One notable feature of the market is the increase in pre-letting activity, reaching a five-year high with 3m sq. ft of deals so far this year . . . “

ONLINE RETAIL MARKET DRIVES DEMAND FOR LOGISTICS AND INDUSTRIAL SPACE

The bi-annual LOGIC Regional report from Knight Frank, which studies the occupier and investment market trends in the industrial and logistics sector, has revealed that the first half of 2018 saw 17 million sq. ft of industrial and logistical space acquired by participants in these sectors.

Given that most online logistics operations – who commanded 17% of retail sales in June 2018 – centre their distribution operations from the Midlands, it is no surprise that this region enjoyed 43% of takeup of warehouse space across the UK.

On the supply side, availability has increased slightly with new developments, that are over 100,000 sq. ft, both underway or recently completed, reaching 10.6 million sq. ft at the end of June 2018. Although this figure is a 20% improvement on the first half of 2017, it remains 7% below the 10-year average.

Editorial credit: Alizada Studios / Shutterstock.com

SCOTTISH COMMERCIAL PROPERTY RETURNS BEAT UK AVERAGE

Although there is a 1.2% deficit between the Scottish and the overall UK total annual returns, with Scotland showing 7% against the UK average of 8.2%, three sectors of Scotland’s commercial property market, ‘offices’, ‘retail’, and ‘alternatives’, are ahead of the UK average. Notably, the high street retail sector in Scotland shows total returns at 6.4%, against the UK average of only 4%.

This latest data, released by CBRE, shows that that the ‘industrials’ sector has bucked the trend due to exceptional rental performance in London and the South East, with UK total returns here showing an impressive 19.3% for the year ending September 2018 against Scotland’s lower 8.4% return.

Martyn Brown, a Director of CBRE’s investments team commented:
“International buyers continue to be active in Scotland, attracted by the softer yields and higher returns on offer when compared to similar investment deals south of the border.”

Index data as at COB Wednesday 5 December 2018. All sources Quilter Investors unless otherwise stated.
1 Bloomberg Barclays index data. 2 JP Morgan Real Broad Effective Exchange Rate CPI Indices.

Chart of the week

“Remortgaging has reached its highest level in almost a decade, as homeowners take advantage of a competitive market and lock into attractive deals. This also reflects the large number of fixed rate mortgages coming to an end, which is expected to continue into 2019.”

If any article in this market update has an effect on your finances and you would like professional advice, then please get in touch.

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